I have been keeping an eye on my banana tree since a conical
shaped flower appeared suddenly after the rain. My enthusiasm is compounded
by the fact it is long overdue to repay me with its dividend since I first planted
it in my backyard five years ago. Until now, it is one of those bad investments
that are not yielding a good percentage of its par value.
I am pretty sure my conversation piece at the dinner table in
my house for this week will be the CPI barometer growing in my backyard. For Australia, it's all coming down to bananas once again by the RBA. The nation's 23 million
people have always been very touchy about references to the yellow fruit. A
previous Prime Minister Paul Keating from 1991 to 1995 once famously warned
Australia risked becoming a banana republic. But the plummeting price of
bananas over the past three months has been a godsend to the current Treasurer,
Wayne Swan, by pulling down inflation. According to the some economists on the
Reserve Bank‘s interest rate decision tomorrow; falling prices - led by a drop in the cost of fruit - have made an
interest rate cut all but certain by the RBA board which always meets on
the first Tuesday of each month to set rates with a view to holding inflation
within a 2 to 3 per cent target range.
Like all investment in the stock exchange, it is all about
timing. Unfortunately, my banana tree is flowering at the wrong time as it is
mid autumn and a cold snap may wipe away my potential harvest of its golden yield.